While Tuesday was enormously impressive and yesterday in Suez looked like it was spinning out of control, the regime still has a lot of weapons in its arsenal (and I don't mean that metaphorically). And that's even without turning to the Army, as they did in 1977 and 1986. I can't foresee the future, and Tunisia surprised everyone, but the Egyptian nut will be harder to crack. This won't be over in 29 days. (Always with the proviso that the Army could be a wild card, but probably won't be.)The Army was the wild card. As for "This won't be over in 29 days" I was technically right: it was over in 18.
Sometimes it feels good to get it wrong, especially when everybody else did, too. (Except, of course, the people of Egypt.)