The Egyptian authorities are now saying that the bomb on Sunday was a nail bomb, apparently made with black powder, presumably planted by a small Islamist cell. Assuming this proves to be true, it would be another indication that the major challenge for counterterror operations in the future may not be well-organized networks like al-Qa'ida, but rather small, freelance operations of a handful of people with unsophisticated technologies. A black powder nail bomb may be limited in its lethality, but by striking at the crucial tourist sector, it can have a decidedly asymmetric impact.
Of course, since so far as public announcements indicate the actual perpetrators remain unknown, one assumes these conclusions (which Al-Ahram attributes to "security agencies") are based on the nature of the bomb rather than actually knowing the identities of the bombmakers.
More here, suggesting someone could identify the pereptrators.
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
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